Trade Hypothesis Ideator

Generate falsifiable trade strategy hypotheses from market data, trade logs, and journal snippets. Use when you have a structured input bundle and want ranked hypothesis cards with experiment designs, kill criteria, and optional strategy.yaml export compatible with edge-finder-candidate/v1.

No API

Download Skill Package (.skill) View Source on GitHub

Table of Contents

1. Overview

Trade Hypothesis Ideator


2. Prerequisites

  • API Key: None required
  • Python 3.9+ recommended

3. Quick Start

  1. Receive input JSON bundle.
  2. Run pass 1 normalization + evidence extraction.
  3. Generate hypotheses with prompts:
    • prompts/system_prompt.md
    • prompts/developer_prompt_template.md (inject ``)
  4. Critique hypotheses with prompts/critique_prompt_template.md.
  5. Run pass 2 ranking + output formatting + guardrails.
  6. Optionally export pursue hypotheses via Step H strategy exporter.

4. Workflow

  1. Receive input JSON bundle.
  2. Run pass 1 normalization + evidence extraction.
  3. Generate hypotheses with prompts:
    • prompts/system_prompt.md
    • prompts/developer_prompt_template.md (inject ``)
  4. Critique hypotheses with prompts/critique_prompt_template.md.
  5. Run pass 2 ranking + output formatting + guardrails.
  6. Optionally export pursue hypotheses via Step H strategy exporter.

5. Resources

References:

  • skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/references/evidence_quality_guide.md
  • skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/references/hypothesis_types.md

Scripts:

  • skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/scripts/run_hypothesis_ideator.py